Electric cars will be cheaper than fossil fuel vehicles ‘by 2027’

josh jackman
Written By
Published on 11 May 2021

Electric vehicles will cost less than fossil fuel-powered cars by 2027, according to new research.

The average price of an electric car will plummet from €38,000 (£32,700) in 2020 to €16,000 (£13,800) in 2030, according to the study by BloombergNEF (BNEF).

The inflection point will be in 2027, when the cost of an electric car will fall below the €19,000 (£16,300) average cost of fossil fuel vehicles.

Sales manager with client near electric car at a car dealership

Electric vehicles are currently 63% to 94% more expensive than their polluting counterparts.

But by 2030, an electric car will be 18% cheaper than its fossil fuel-powered equivalent, and partly as a result, the majority of cars sold in 2030 will be electric.

This rapid change will be down to falling battery prices, more specialised manufacturing processes, and increased electric vehicle efficiency.

The price of batteries that power electric cars is set to decrease by around 60% over the course of the decade.

This will be thanks to both a drop in material costs and to the new dedicated manufacturing centres which will be optimised to produce electric vehicles.

BNEF expects this to have an enormous impact on the number of cars produced, increasing global manufacturing capacity by 370% in just five years from 2020 to 2025.

Electric cars themselves are also expected to improve over the decade, increasing their already impressive fuel efficiency by 30% by 2030.

All of these developments will bring down prices, as it becomes less expensive to make better cars.

With the initial price of an electric car quickly coming down, there will soon be no reason to stick with a traditional petrol model.

The running cost of an electric vehicle is currently three times lower, on average, than fossil fuel-powered cars.

An 100% electric car will cost you 4p per mile, according to the UK government – and that amount is only coming down.

In contrast, a petrol car costs between 9.9p and 17.2p per mile, depending on the size of the engine.

Written by

josh jackman

Josh has written about and reported on eco-friendly home improvements and climate change for the past four years.

His data-driven work has featured on the front page of the Financial Times and in publications including The Independent, Telegraph, Times, Sun, Daily Express, and Fox News, earned him the position of resident expert in BT's smart home tech initiative, and been referenced in official United Nations and World Health Organisation documents.

He’s also been interviewed on BBC One's Rip-Off Britain, BBC Radio 4, and BBC Radio 5 Live as an expert on everything from renewable energy to government policy and space travel's carbon footprint, and regularly attends Grand Designs Live as a Green Living Expert, giving bespoke advice to members of the public about heat pumps and solar panels.

Josh has also used the journalistic skills he developed at The Jewish Chronicle and PinkNews to investigate and analyse every green government grant in existence, and examine the impact on the climate of cryptocurrency, Glastonbury Festival, and the World Cup.

You can get in touch with Josh via email.

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